SIMULATING FISH PRODUCTION USING EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

被引：3

作者：

DYER, TGJ

GILLOOLY, JF

机构：

[1] Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

来源：

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING | 1979年 / 6卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0304-3800(79)90059-0

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

The variation over time of the total annual production of pe and the United Kingdom has been described quantitatively using the exponential smoothing technique. The exercise was repeated on annual mackerel landings for the same two countries. It is suggested that in some cases, the production figure for the current year can be used to simulate the following year's value. The greater variations in South Africa's annual production probably gave rise to the poorer results for these data. © 1979.

引用

页码：77 / 87

页数：11

共 7 条

[1]

Brown, Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series, (1963)

[2]

Cushing, Upwelling Areas, an Account of their Biology and Potential Yield, FAO Fish. Tech. Pap., 84, (1969)

[3]

Draper, Smith, Applied Regression Analysis, (1966)

[4]

Dyer, On the application of some stochastic models to precipitation forecasting, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 103, pp. 177-189, (1977)

[5]

Kendall, Time Series, (1973)

[6]

Montgomery, Johnson, Forecasting and Time Series Analysis, (1976)

[7]

Newman, Living Marine Resources off Southern Africa, Resources of Southern Africa — Today and Tomorrow, pp. 208-233, (1976)

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