POLITICAL TRANSFORMATIONS ON POST-SOVIET SPACE: DO "COLOUR REVOLUTIONS" MATTER?

The article casts light on the comparative analysis of the regime transformations in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan under the influence of the "colour revolutions" being interpreted as the specific cases of the ruling elite change that showed their particular features in each of three countries. After conducting the analysis of these characteristics influence on the trajectories of the future transformations, A. Gilyev comes to the conclusion that the differences in the "colour revolutions" impact on the political regimes are due to the specific formats of the "winning coalition" and the outcome of the conflict between the ruling elite and the opposition that claimed to replace it. The coalition of the monolithic nature based on the negative consensus and its absolute victory encourage the maintenance of the monocentric regime, whereas the fragmentation of the elite and the equality of forces favour greater polycentricism.