STOKING THE FIRES - CO2 EMISSIONS AND ECONOMIC-GROWTH

被引：933

作者：

HOLTZEAKIN, D ^{[1
]}

SELDEN, TM ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] NATL BUR ECON RES,CAMBRIDGE,MA 02138

来源：

JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS | 1995年 / 57卷 / 01期

关键词：

ECONOMIC GROWTH; GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE;

D O I：

10.1016/0047-2727(94)01449-X

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We examine the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide emissions, a greenhouse gas central to global warming predictions. Estimates derived from global panel data suggest a diminishing marginal propensity to emit (MPE) carbon dioxide as GDP per capita rises. Despite this, global carbon dioxide emissions growth will continue at 1.8 percent per annum for the foreseeable future, a result that is not sensitive to average output growth. Instead, emissions growth continues because output and population will grow most rapidly in lower-income nations with high MPEs. This latter feature emphasizes the distributional consequences of policies to reduce emissions.

引用

页码：85 / 101

页数：17