TARGETED ACID-RAIN STRATEGIES INCLUDING UNCERTAINTY

被引：12

作者：

BATTERMAN, SA ^{[1
]}

AMANN, M ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] INT INST APPL SYST ANAL, A-2361 LAXENBURG, AUSTRIA

来源：

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT | 1991年 / 32卷 / 01期

关键词：

ACIDIC DEPOSITION; AIR POLLUTANTS; EMISSION CONTROL STRATEGIES; OPTIMIZATION; UNCERTAINTY; SULFUR;

D O I：

10.1016/S0301-4797(05)80081-7

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Uncertainties of targeted emission control strategies aimed at the cost-effective control of sulfur deposition in Europe are evaluated using two procedures. The first accounts for parameter and data errors using a chance-constraint procedure. The second examines the effect of interannual meteorologic variability. Several techniques increase the accuracy and speed of the computations. Uncertainties are determined for scenarios using single, regional, and European-wide targets. For single and regional deposition targets, uncertainty decreases the specificity of prescriptive emission reductions and requires additional emission abatements. Cost and removal minimizing strategies have large differences. Providing a margin of safety is expensive for some deposition targets. © 1991 Academic Press Limited.

引用

页码：57 / 72

页数：16

共 16 条

[1]

ALCAMO J, 1987, AMBIO, V16, P232

[2] THE UNCERTAINTY OF ATMOSPHERIC SOURCE-RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIPS IN EUROPE [J].