Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis

被引：0

作者：

Apokin, Alexander ^{[1
]}

Belousov, Dmitry ^{[1
,2
]}

Mikhailenko, Kirill ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Ctr Macroecon Anal & Short Term Forecasting, Moscow, Russia

[2] RAS, Inst Econ Forecasting, Moscow, Russia

来源：

FORESIGHT AND STI GOVERNANCE | 2010年 / 4卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising - innovation-based - scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant.

引用

页码：4 / +

页数：16