MODELING WILDLAND FIRE CONTAINMENT WITH UNCERTAIN FLAME LENGTH AND FIRELINE WIDTH

被引：25

作者：

MEES, R

STRAUSS, D

CHASE, R

机构：

[1] Pacific Southwest Research Station, USD A Forest Service Station, Riverside, CA, 92507

[2] Department of Statistics, University of California at Riverside, Riverside, CA

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE | 1993年 / 3卷 / 03期

关键词：

WILDLAND FIRELINE CONTAINMENT PROBABILITY; UNCERTAINTY IN FLAME LENGTH; UNCERTAINTY IN RESOURCE PRODUCTIVITY;

D O I：

10.1071/WF9930179

中图分类号：

S7 [林业];

学科分类号：

0829 ; 0907 ;

摘要：

We describe a mathematical model for the probability that a fireline succeeds in containing a fire. The probability increases as the fireline width increases, and also as the fire's flame length decreases. More interestingly, uncertainties in width and flame length affect the computed containment probabilities, and can thus indirectly affect the optimum allocation of fire-fighting resources. Uncertainty about the fireline width that will be produced can often affect containment chances as much as uncertainty in flame length.

引用

页码：179 / 185

页数：7

共 14 条

[11]

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[12]

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[13]

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[14]

NationalFireManagement Analysis System User’s guide, Release of the Initial Action Assessment Model (FPL-IAA2), (1983)

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