Optimal control of intervention strategies and cost effectiveness analysis for a Zika virus model

被引:46
作者
Momoh, Abdulfatai A. [1 ]
Fuegenschuh, Armin [2 ]
机构
[1] Modibbo Adama Univ Technol, Yola, Adamawa State, Nigeria
[2] Helmut Schmidt Univ, Hamburg, Germany
关键词
Vector-Borne disease; Zika virus; Optimal control; Cost effectiveness analysis; Reproduction number;
D O I
10.1016/j.orhc.2017.08.004
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
This paper presents an optimal control strategy and a cost effectiveness analysis for the Zika virus disease. A mathematical model for the transmission of the Zika virus is considered with four preventive measures as control, namely: the use of treated bednets, the use of condoms, a medical treatment of infected persons, and the use of indoor residual spray (IRS). We obtain the reproduction number R-0 for the disease and carry out a stability analysis. We observe that the disease's free equilibrium state is stable when R-0 < 1 but unstable when R-0 > 1, which leads to a spread of the disease. Weexamine the implementation of various combinations of the possible control strategies in order to determine the most cost- effective one. Based on the computational results, we conclude that a strategy that consists of treated bednets, treatment of symptomatic infected humans and indoor residual spray is the most cost effective strategy. (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier
引用
收藏
页码:99 / 111
页数:13
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