TRENDS IN UK EXTREME SEA-LEVELS - A SPATIAL APPROACH

被引:16
作者
DIXON, MJ
TAWN, JA
机构
[1] Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield
关键词
ANNUAL MAXIMA; CRUSTAL MOVEMENT; EXTREME SEA-LEVEL; MEAN SEA-LEVEL; SEA-LEVEL TRENDS;
D O I
10.1111/j.1365-246X.1992.tb02115.x
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];
学科分类号
0708 ; 070902 ;
摘要
The majority of studies of long-term sea-level change have concentrated on the trend in mean sea-level which is just one constituent of the trend in extreme sea-level. By fitting a spatial model to sea-level annual maxima from 62 UK sites, extreme sea-level trend estimates are obtained for the entire British coastline. These estimates exhibit smooth, but significant, spatial variation which arises from a combination of eustatic extreme sea-level change and local vertical land movements. Once the latter effect is removed, eustatic extreme sea-level trends are found to have no significant spatial variation and to be similar in value to trends in UK eustatic mean sea-level.
引用
收藏
页码:607 / 616
页数:10
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