BAYES 2-SAMPLE PREDICTION FOR THE INVERSE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION

被引:60
作者
CALABRIA, R [1 ]
PULCINI, G [1 ]
机构
[1] CNR,IST MOTORI,DEPT STAT & RELIABIL,I-80125 NAPLES,ITALY
关键词
INVERSE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION; BAYES ESTIMATION; PREDICTIVE DISTRIBUTION; LOG INVERSE GAMMA DISTRIBUTION;
D O I
10.1080/03610929408831356
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper deals with the problem of predicting, on the base of censored sampling, the ordered lifetimes in a future sample when samples are assumed to follow the inverse Weibull distribution. Bayes prediction intervals are derived, both when no prior information is available, and when prior information on the unreliability level at a fixed time is introduced in the predictive procedure. A Monte Carlo simulation study has shown that the use of the prior information leads to a more accurate prediction, also when the choice of the informative prior density is quite wrong.
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页码:1811 / 1824
页数:14
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