DATABASE MODELS AND MANAGERIAL INTUITION - 50-PERCENT MODEL + 50-PERCENT MANAGER

被引:272
作者
BLATTBERG, RC [1 ]
HOCH, SJ [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV CHICAGO,GRAD SCH BUSINESS,CTR DECIS RES,CHICAGO,IL 60637
关键词
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.36.8.887
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:887 / 899
页数:13
相关论文
共 32 条
[1]   RELATIVE ACCURACY OF JUDGMENTAL AND EXTRAPOLATIVE METHODS IN FORECASTING ANNUAL EARNINGS [J].
ARMSTRONG, JS .
JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1983, 2 (04) :437-447
[2]   AGGREGATING SUBJECTIVE FORECASTS - SOME EMPIRICAL RESULTS [J].
ASHTON, AH ;
ASHTON, RH .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1985, 31 (12) :1499-1508
[3]  
Blattberg R., 1990, SALES PROMOTIONS
[5]  
Brunswik E, 1952, INT ENCY UNIFIED SCI, V1
[6]   COMBINING FORECASTS [J].
BUNN, DW .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 1988, 33 (03) :223-229
[7]   GENERAL CONDITIONS FOR THE SUCCESS OF BOOTSTRAPPING MODELS [J].
CAMERER, C .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1981, 27 (03) :411-422
[8]  
CHI MTH, 1981, ADV PSYCHOL HUMAN IN
[9]   COMBINING FORECASTS - A REVIEW AND ANNOTATED-BIBLIOGRAPHY [J].
CLEMEN, RT .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1989, 5 (04) :559-583
[10]  
Cohen J., 1983, APPL MULTIPLE REGRES, V2