The Wealth-Consumption Ratio

被引:50
作者
Lustig, Hanno [1 ,2 ]
Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn [2 ,3 ]
Verdelhan, Adrien [2 ,4 ]
机构
[1] UCLA Anderson, Los Angeles, CA USA
[2] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] NYU Stern, CEPR, New York, NY USA
[4] MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1093/rapstu/rat002
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We derive new estimates of total wealth, the returns on total wealth, and the wealth effect on consumption. We estimate the prices of aggregate risk from bond yields and stock returns using a no-arbitrage model. Using these risk prices, we compute total wealth as the price of a claim to aggregate consumption. We find that U.S. households have a surprising amount of total wealth, most of it human wealth. This wealth ismuch less risky than stock market wealth. Events in long-term bond markets, not stock markets, drive most total wealth fluctuations. The wealth effect on consumption is small and varies over time with real interest rates.
引用
收藏
页码:38 / 94
页数:57
相关论文
共 55 条
[1]   Using asset prices to measure the cost of business cycles [J].
Alvarez, F ;
Jermann, UJ .
JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 2004, 112 (06) :1223-1256
[2]   What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? [J].
Ang, A ;
Plazzesi, M ;
Wei, M .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2006, 131 (1-2) :359-403
[3]   A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables [J].
Ang, A ;
Piazzesi, M .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 2003, 50 (04) :745-787
[4]   The term structure of real rates and expected inflation [J].
Ang, Andrew ;
Bekaert, Geert ;
Wei, Min .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2008, 63 (02) :797-849
[5]   Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles [J].
Bansal, R ;
Yaron, A .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2004, 59 (04) :1481-1509
[6]  
Bansal R., 2012, WORKING PAPER
[7]   Stock and bond returns with Moody Investors [J].
Bekaert, Geert ;
Engstrom, Eric ;
Grenadier, Steven R. .
JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2010, 17 (05) :867-894
[8]   Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices [J].
Bekaert, Geert ;
Engstrom, Eric ;
Xing, Yuhang .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2009, 91 (01) :59-82
[9]  
Bernanke B. S., 2001, PAPERS P, V91, P25357
[10]   Gain, loss, and asset pricing [J].
Bernardo, AE ;
Ledoit, O .
JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 2000, 108 (01) :144-172