Graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometry was used to determine the concentrations of nickel, iron, and lead in 26 different production lots of Winchester-Western cartridge case brass. In most cases, the measured elemental concentrations were found to be normally distributed within a lot, and the variables lacked any strong association. It was found that the concentrations of these three elements could be used as a basis for the comparison of individual cartridge cases to determine their provenance. Using the T-test with a significance level of 0.01, the frequency of obtaining a 'true match' and a 'false match' were found to be 98.1% and 0.43%, respectively. Additionally, a likelihood ratio was used to evaluate the extent to which provenance, or ''common origin'' among brass cartridge cases can be established.