PROBLEMS IN MEASURING PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE - AN APPLICATION TO CONTRARIAN INVESTMENT STRATEGIES

被引:142
作者
BALL, R [1 ]
KOTHARI, SP [1 ]
SHANKEN, J [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV ROCHESTER,WILLIAM E SIMON GRAD SCH BUSINESS ADM,ROCHESTER,NY 14627
关键词
CONTRARIAN STRATEGY; LOW-PRICED STOCKS; PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE; MARKET EFFICIENCY; ASSET PRICING; JEL CLASSIFICATION; G11; G12; G14;
D O I
10.1016/0304-405X(94)00806-C
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We document problems in measuring raw and abnormal five-year contrarian portfolio returns. 'Loser' stocks are low-priced and exhibit skewed return distributions. Their 163% mean return is due largely to their lowest-price quartile position. A $1/8th price increase reduces the mean by 25%, highlighting their sensitivity to microstructure/liquidity effects. Long positions in low-priced loser stocks occur disproportionately after bear markets and thus induce expected-return effects. A contrarian portfolio formed at June-end earns negative abnormal returns, in contrast with the December-end portfolio. This conclusion is not limited to a particular version of the CAPM.
引用
收藏
页码:79 / 107
页数:29
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