PROBABILISTIC PROJECT-MANAGEMENT

被引：3

作者：

POHL, J

CHAPMAN, A

机构：

[1] Sch of Architecture, Cal Poly San, Luis Obispo, CA, USA, Sch of Architecture, Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, CA, USA

来源：

BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT | 1987年 / 22卷 / 03期

关键词：

BUILDINGS - Construction - COMPUTER SOFTWARE - ENGINEERING - Project Management - PROBABILITY;

D O I：

10.1016/0360-1323(87)90009-6

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

This paper discusses the principal shortcomings of the deterministic network analysis techniques PERT and CPM, and describes a probabilistic approach that attempts to overcome these deficiencies through the use of statistical activity duration distributions and probabilities of completion. Reference is made to the PMS software package for the MS-DOS microcomputer environment which embodies the principles of the probabilistic approach.

引用

页码：209 / 214

页数：6