Drivers and outcomes of scenario planning: a canonical correlation analysis

被引:11
作者
Chermack, Thomas J. [1 ]
Nimon, Kim [2 ]
机构
[1] Colorado State Univ, OLPS Dept, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
[2] Univ North Texas, Dept Learning Technol, Houston, TX USA
关键词
Scenario planning; Strategic learning;
D O I
10.1108/EJTD-03-2013-0030
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Purpose - The paper's aim is to report a research study on the mediator and outcome variable sets in scenario planning. Design/methodology/approach - This is a cannonical correlation analysis (CCA) Findings - Twso sets of variables; one as a predictor set that explained a significant amount of variability in the second, or outcome set of variables were found. Research limitations/implications - The study did not involve random selection or assignment and used perception-based measures. Practical implications - The findings support scenario planning as a tool to reinforce certain decision styles and learning organization culture. Originality/value - A critical contribution to scenario planning research, this study brings some order to the variety of variables espoused to be involved in scenario work. Clear outcomes are a learning culture and intuitive/dependent decision styles. The study makes a real contribution to quantitative scenario studies.
引用
收藏
页码:811 / 834
页数:24
相关论文
共 55 条
[1]  
Allee V., 1997, KNOWLEDGE EVOLUTION
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1991, ART LONG VIEW
[3]  
Argyris C., 1996, ORG DEV SERIES
[4]   Cognitive Barriers in the Scenario Development Process [J].
Bradfield, Ronald M. .
ADVANCES IN DEVELOPING HUMAN RESOURCES, 2008, 10 (02) :198-215
[5]  
Chermack T. J., 2011, ACAD HUMAN RESOURCE
[6]  
Chermack T.J., 2011, SCENARIO PLANNING OR
[7]   Exploring the relationship between scenario planning and perceptions of learning organization characteristics [J].
Chermack, Thomas J. ;
Lynham, Susan A. ;
van der Merwe, Louis .
FUTURES, 2006, 38 (07) :767-777
[8]   Studying scenario planning: Theory, research suggestions, and hypotheses [J].
Chermack, TJ .
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2005, 72 (01) :59-73
[9]  
CHERMACK TJ, 2004, HUM RESOUR DEV REV, V3, P301
[10]  
Chermack TJ., 2002, HUM RESOUR DEV REV, V1, P366, DOI [10.1177/1534484302013006, DOI 10.1177/1534484302013006]