CONDITIONS AND FACTORS OF IMPLEMENTING THE DOCTRINE FOR NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY IN THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS BY 2030

The world agrofood system is characterized by a constant occurrence of multidirectional trends, factors and threats complicated for monitoring and prediction. In this regard, immediate and strategic identification, quantification and assessment of the potential of the external environment effect are several directions for ensuring sustainability of the national food security. The article presents the results of studying the conditions and factors that will in future have effect on implementation of aims and objectives of the Doctrine of National Food Security of the Republic of Belarus by 2030. Analysis of the trends in the development of world agriculture and food production has been carried out, and their classification has been cited from the standpoint of the effect on the national agrofood system sustainability. The following important groups of factors are distinguished: ensuring global food security, dynamics of macroeconomic conditions in countries and regions, factors of food demand, production, trade and price conditions, and orientation of the agrarian policy of food exporters. Potential external threats related to the growing deficiency of resources in the agricultural products, raw materials and food markets, instability of the conjuncture, as well as active use of protectionist measures and regulators by the main exporters have been identified. The results of monitoring of the national food security of the Republic of Belarus following the results of 2017 in the context of the sustainability of the functioning of the agroindustrial complex are analyzed. Potential threats of physical, economic availability of food, level and quality of nutrition in terms of the population categories were identified. General directions and measures to strengthen the national food security are indicated, including: increasing the efficiency and sustainability of agricultural production, ensuring economic availability of products for the population, increasing the competitiveness of production and marketing of products, developing scientific and innovation potential, etc.