Why Do Trade Negotiations Take So Long?

被引：19

作者：

Moser, Christoph ^{[1
]}

Rose, Andrew K. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, KOF Swiss Econ Inst, Zurich, Switzerland

[2] Univ Calif Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC INTEGRATION | 2012年 / 27卷 / 02期

关键词：

Regional; GATT; WTO; Duration; Income; Data; Empirical; Cox; Survival;

D O I：

10.11130/jei.2012.27.2.280

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The Doha multilateral round of trade negotiations sponsored by the WTO has been dragging on for over a decade, with no end in sight. In this short paper we assess empirically what determines the duration of trade negotiations, focusing on the span between the start of trade talks and their conclusion. We use data from 88 regional trade agreements between 1988 and 2009, and a semi-parametric Cox proportional hazards model. Four factors are robust determinants of the length of RTA negotiations. Negotiations are more protracted when there are more countries at the negotiation table, and when the countries are not from the same region. Negotiations between more open and richer countries also finish more quickly.

引用

页码：280 / 290

页数：11