QUANTIFYING JUDGMENTAL UNCERTAINTY - METHODOLOGY, EXPERIENCES, AND INSIGHTS

被引：98
作者：
MERKHOFER, MW
机构：
来源：
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS | 1987年 / 17卷 / 05期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1109/TSMC.1987.6499281
中图分类号：
TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号：
0812 ;
摘要：
引用
收藏
页码：741 / 752
页数：12
相关论文
共 43 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY
[2]   USE OF DECOMPOSITION PRINCIPLE IN MAKING JUDGMENTS [J].
ARMSTRONG, JS ;
DENNISTON, WB ;
GORDON, MM .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1975, 14 (02) :257-263
[3]   AGGREGATING SUBJECTIVE FORECASTS - SOME EMPIRICAL RESULTS [J].
ASHTON, AH ;
ASHTON, RH .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1985, 31 (12) :1499-1508
[4]  
BALTHASAR HU, 1978, HARVARD BUS REV, V56, P151
[5]  
BARCLAY S, 1977, HDB DECISION ANAL, P68
[6]   HOW PROBABLE IS PROBABLE - A NUMERICAL TRANSLATION OF VERBAL PROBABILITY-EXPRESSIONS [J].
BEYTHMAROM, R .
JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1982, 1 (03) :257-269
[7]  
BOYD DW, 1979, CHARACTERIZING UNCER
[8]  
BROWN RV, 1973, R944ARPA RAND CORP R
[9]  
Delbecq A. L., 1975, GROUP TECHNIQUES PRO
[10]  
Fischoff B., 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY, DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511809477.032
12345