FUNDAMENTALS OF THE DEMPSTER-SHAFER THEORY AND ITS APPLICATIONS TO RELIABILITY MODELING

被引：48

作者：

Rakowsky, Uwe Kay ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Wuppertal, Dept D Safety Engn, D-42097 Wuppertal, Germany

[2] Vossloh Kiepe GmbH, RAMS LCC, D-40599 Dusseldorf, Germany

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RELIABILITY QUALITY & SAFETY ENGINEERING | 2007年 / 14卷 / 06期

关键词：

Dempster-Shafer Theory; evidence; uncertainty; expert assessment; reliability;

D O I：

10.1142/S0218539307002817

中图分类号：

T [工业技术];

学科分类号：

08 ;

摘要：

The Dempster-Shafter Theory is well-known for its usefulness to express uncertain judgments of experts. This contribution shows how to apply the calculus to safety and reliability modeling, especially to expert judgment; Failure Modes, Effects, and Criticality Analysis; Event Tree Analysis, Fault Tree Analysis, and Reliability Centered Maintenance. Including a tutorial introduction to the Dempster-Shafer Theory, the differences between the Probability and the Dempster-Shafer Theory are discussed widely.

引用

页码：579 / 601

页数：23

共 28 条

[1] [Anonymous], 2003, SAND20024015
[2] Cheng Y., 2000, TAMKANG J SCI ENG, V3, P23
[3] UPPER AND LOWER PROBABILITIES INDUCED BY A MULTIVALUED MAPPING
DEMPSTER, AP
[J]. ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1967, 38 (02): : 325 - &
[4] NEW METHODS FOR REASONING TOWARDS POSTERIOR DISTRIBUTIONS BASED ON SAMPLE DATA
DEMPSTER, AP
[J]. ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1966, 37 (02): : 355 - &
[5] DEMPSTER AP, 1968, J ROY STAT SOC B, V30, P205
[6] Denoeux T, 1999, INT J APPROX REASON, V20, P79, DOI 10.1016/S0888-613X(98)10023-3
[7] Modeling of uncertainties in reliability centered maintenance - a probabilistic approach
Eisinger, S
Rakowsky, UK
[J]. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2001, 71 (02) : 159 - 164
[8] Flack Julien, 1996, THESIS
[9] A PROBABILISTIC FOUNDATION FOR VAGUENESS AND IMPRECISION IN FAULT-TREE ANALYSIS
GUTH, MAS
[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY, 1991, 40 (05) : 563 - 571
[10] Hollnagel E., 1998, COGNITIVE RELIABILIT

← 1 2 3 →