The public opinion-foreign policy paradox in Germany: integrating domestic and international levels of analysis conditionally

被引:4
作者
Davis, William [1 ]
机构
[1] Walsh Univ, Dept Govt & Foreign Affairs, 140 Betzler SC,2020 East Maple St, North Canton, OH 44720 USA
关键词
Germany; foreign policy formation; public opinion; Western Europe;
D O I
10.1080/09662839.2012.655271
中图分类号
K9 [地理];
学科分类号
0705 ;
摘要
Does public opinion influence foreign policy? International relations theory is divided on whether foreign policy outputs follow public opinion in advanced democratic countries. Using the case of cold war and post-cold war Germany, I offer an integrated realist theory of the effect of public opinion on foreign policy. I test the theory and the generalizability of the hypothesis of a public opinion-foreign policy nexus using process tracing as well as a time series analysis between the years 1973 and 2002. Using new measures, results here contradict literature on expected public opinion and policy outputs in the cold war period yet are supported after. I find that the predicted effect of public opinion on foreign policy outputs to be confounded by such factors as security threats.
引用
收藏
页码:347 / 369
页数:23
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