OPTIMAL PREDICTION OF CYCLICAL DOWNTURNS

[1] Box G.E.P., 1976, TIME SERIES ANAL

[2] FRISCH R, 1965, READING BUSINESS CYC

[3] Gordon Robert J., 1979, BROOKINGS PAPERS EC, V2, P447

[4] HICKS J, 1949, ECONOMICA, V16, P32

[5] Hicks J. R., 1950, CONTRIBUTION THEORY

[6] KEYNES JM, 1936, GENERAL THEORY EMPLO

[7] KUSHNER H, 1977, PROBABILISTIC METHOD

[8] Mitchell WC, 1927, BUSINESS CYCLES

[9] NEFTCI S, 1979, ASYMMETRIC BEHAVIOR

[10] LEAD-LAG RELATIONS, EXOGENEITY AND PREDICTION OF ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 1979, 47 (01) : 101 - 113

[1] Box G.E.P., 1976, TIME SERIES ANAL

[2] FRISCH R, 1965, READING BUSINESS CYC

[3] Gordon Robert J., 1979, BROOKINGS PAPERS EC, V2, P447

[4] HICKS J, 1949, ECONOMICA, V16, P32

[5] Hicks J. R., 1950, CONTRIBUTION THEORY

[6] KEYNES JM, 1936, GENERAL THEORY EMPLO

[7] KUSHNER H, 1977, PROBABILISTIC METHOD

[8] Mitchell WC, 1927, BUSINESS CYCLES

[9] NEFTCI S, 1979, ASYMMETRIC BEHAVIOR

[10] LEAD-LAG RELATIONS, EXOGENEITY AND PREDICTION OF ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 1979, 47 (01) : 101 - 113