DOWN TO 10 - ESTIMATING THE EFFECT OF A RED CARD IN SOCCER

被引：52

作者：

RIDDER, G ^{[1
]}

CRAMER, JS ^{[1
]}

HOPSTAKEN, P ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV AMSTERDAM,FDN ECON RES,AMSTERDAM,NETHERLANDS

来源：

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION | 1994年 / 89卷 / 427期

关键词：

CONDITIONAL LIKELIHOOD; POISSON PROCESS; SOCCER; UNOBSERVED HETEROGENEITY;

D O I：

10.2307/2290942

中图分类号：

O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];

学科分类号：

020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;

摘要：

We investigate the effect of the expulsion of a player on the outcome of a soccer match by means of a probability model for the score. We propose estimators of the expulsion effect that are independent of the relative strength of the teams. We use the estimates to illustrate the expulsion effect on the outcome of a match.

引用

页码：1124 / 1127

页数：4