INTEGRATED RISK ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE-CHANGE

被引：18
作者：
SHLYAKHTER, A
VALVERDE, LJ
WILSON, R
机构：
[1] HARVARD UNIV, HARVARD CTR RISK ANAL, DEPT PHYS, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02138 USA
[2] HARVARD UNIV, NE REG CTR GLOBAL ENVIRONM CHANGE, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02138 USA
[3] MIT, ALFRED P SLOAN SCH MANAGEMENT, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02139 USA
[4] MIT, TECHNOL MANAGEMENT & POLICY PROGRAM, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02139 USA
来源：
CHEMOSPHERE | 1995年 / 30卷 / 08期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1016/0045-6535(95)00032-4
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
This paper discusses several factors that should be considered in integrated risk analyses of global climate change. We begin by describing how the problem of global climate change can be subdivided into largely independent parts that can he linked together in an analytically tractable fashion. Uncertainty ploys a central role in integrated risk analyses of global climate change. Accordingly, we consider various aspects of uncertainty as they relate to the climate change problem. We also consider the impacts of these uncertainties on various risk management issues, such as sequential decision strategies, value of information, and problems of interregional and intergenerational equity.
引用
收藏
页码：1585 / 1618
页数：34
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