The importance of including variability in climate change projections used for adaptation

被引:0
作者
David M. H. Sexton
Glen R. Harris
机构
[1] UK Met Office,
[2] Hadley Centre,undefined
[3] FitzRoy Road Exeter EX1 3PB,undefined
[4] UK,undefined
来源
Nature Climate Change | 2015年 / 5卷
关键词
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Climate projections are about what typical climate will be, not what each individual season will be. This study considers natural variability combined with projections to allow comparison with seasonal weather and inform adaptation.
引用
收藏
页码:931 / 936
页数:5
相关论文
共 44 条
[1]  
Manabe S(1967)Thermal equilibrium of the atmosphere with a given distribution of relative humidity J. Atmos. Sci. 24 241-259
[2]  
Wetherald RT(1981)Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide Science 213 957-966
[3]  
Hansen J(1998)Scale-dependent detection of climate change J. Clim. 11 3282-3294
[4]  
Stott PA(2008)Estimating present climate in a warming world: A model-based approach Clim. Dynam. 31 573-585
[5]  
Tett SFB(2011)Cold months in a warming climate Geophys. Res. Lett. 38 L22704-1394
[6]  
Räisänen J(2007)The WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset: A new era in climate change research Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 88 1383-2542
[7]  
Ruokolainen L(2012)Multivariate prediction using imperfect climate models part I: Outline of methodology Clim. Dynam. 38 2513-2972
[8]  
Räisänen J(2013)Probabilistic projections of transient climate change Clim. Dynam. 40 2937-264
[9]  
Ylhäisi JS(2007)Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations Climatic Change 81 247-614
[10]  
Meehl GA(2004)Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003 Nature 432 610-386