The short and long-run interdependencies between the Eurozone and the USA

被引:0
作者
Gaggl P. [1 ]
Kaniovski S. [2 ]
Prettner K. [2 ]
Url T. [2 ]
机构
[1] Department of Economics, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, One Shields Avenue
[2] Austrian Institute of Economic Research, 1103 Vienna
关键词
Business cycle; Cointegration; Steady state; VAR;
D O I
10.1007/s10663-008-9081-4
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
We estimate quarterly cointegrating vector autoregressive models for the Eurozone and the USA based on long-run restrictions derived from a dynamic open economy model. Three long-run relations between the Eurozone and the USA emerge: relative purchasing power parity, international interest parity and a stationary output gap between the two economies. Generalized impulse response functions show differences in the dynamic adjustment of the two economies. Due to the I(1)-characteristic of both output series and the stability conditions imposed by the long-run equilibrium relationships, shocks to the model produce level effects only, while growth rates converge to their long-run averages. © Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2008.
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收藏
页码:209 / 227
页数:18
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