Detection and attribution of climate change, and understanding solar influence on climate

被引：0
作者：
W. J. Ingram
机构：
[1] University of Oxford,Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Department of Physics
[2] Meteorological Office,Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
来源：
Space Science Reviews | 2006年 / 125卷
关键词：
climate change; detection and attribution; solar;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
The detection of externally-forced climate change in observations, and its attribution to specific forcings, sounds simple enough to some people, but with others it has a reputation as a complex and arcane specialism. In fact, both these impressions have some truth - in principle it is no more than regressing expected patterns of climate change (normally obtained from GCM sim-ulations forced with observed or reconstructed past forcings) against the corresponding observa-tions, with uncertainty estimates that try to be as rigorous as possible, but there are many technical complexities.
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页码：199 / 211
页数：12
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