Treatment of ground-motion predictive relationships for the reference seismic hazard map of Italy

被引:0
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作者
Valentina Montaldo
Ezio Faccioli
Gaetano Zonno
Aybige Akinci
Luca Malagnini
机构
[1] Sezione “Sismologia Applicata”,Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
[2] Politecnico di Milano,Department of Structural Engineering
[3] Sezione “Sismologia e Tettonofisica”,Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
来源
Journal of Seismology | 2005年 / 9卷
关键词
epicentral and Joyner-Boore distance; epistemic uncertainty; predictive relationships; seismic hazard mapping; scaling laws; volcanic regions;
D O I
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中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
In the framework of the 2004 reference seismic hazard map of Italy the amplitude of the strong-motion (expressed in terms of Peak Horizontal Acceleration with 10% probability of non-exceedence in 50 years, referred to average hard ground conditions) was computed using different predictive relationships. Equations derived in Italy and in Europe from strong-motion data, as well as a set of weak and strong-motion based empirical predictive relationships were employed in a logic tree procedure, in order to capture the epistemic uncertainty affecting ground-motion attenuation. This article describes the adjustments and conversions required to eliminate the incompatibilities amongst the relations. Particularly significant are distance conversions and style-of-faulting adjustments, as well as the problems related to the use of regional relations, such as the selection of a reference depth, the quantification of random variability and the strong-motion prediction. Moreover, a regional attenuation relationship specific for volcanic areas was also employed, allowing a more realistic evaluation of seismic hazard, as confirmed by the attenuation of macroseismic intensities.
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页码:295 / 316
页数:21
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