Rapid cost decrease of renewables and storage accelerates the decarbonization of China's power system

被引:312
作者
He, Gang [1 ,2 ]
Lin, Jiang [2 ,3 ]
Sifuentes, Froylan [2 ,4 ]
Liu, Xu [2 ]
Abhyankar, Nikit [2 ]
Phadke, Amol [2 ]
机构
[1] SUNY Stony Brook, Coll Engn & Appl Sci, Dept Technol & Soc, Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA
[2] Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Int Energy Anal Dept, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[3] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Agr & Resources Econ, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[4] Western Washington Univ, Inst Energy Studies, Environm Sci Dept, Bellingham, WA 98225 USA
关键词
UNCERTAINTY; EMISSIONS; SWITCH; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1038/s41467-020-16184-x
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The costs for solar photovoltaics, wind, and battery storage have dropped markedly since 2010, however, many recent studies and reports around the world have not adequately captured such dramatic decrease. Those costs are projected to decline further in the near future, bringing new prospects for the widespread penetration of renewables and extensive power-sector decarbonization that previous policy discussions did not fully consider. Here we show if cost trends for renewables continue, 62% of China's electricity could come from non-fossil sources by 2030 at a cost that is 11% lower than achieved through a business-as-usual approach. Further, China's power sector could cut half of its 2015 carbon emissions at a cost about 6% lower compared to business-as-usual conditions.
引用
收藏
页数:9
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