Methodological Approaches to Assessing Possible Damage to Economic Systems from Climate Change

被引：0
作者：
Porfiriev B.N. [1 ]
Akent’eva E.M. [2 ]
Eliseev D.O. [1 ]
Khlebnikova E.I. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
[2] A.I. Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory, Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring (Roshydromet), St. Petersburg
来源：
Studies on Russian Economic Development | 2024年 / 35卷 / 1期
关键词：
climate change; climatically vulnerable objects; direct and indirect damage; exposure; sensitivity; vulnerability;
D O I：
10.1134/S1075700724010143
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Abstract—: The concepts’ glossary, criteria, and parameters for compiling the list of climatically vulnerable objects in Russia are substantiated. The original methodology for assessing possible damage to these facilities from climate change and its impact is presented, including key limitations, stages, and calculation technique. The methodolog’s specificity involves an integrated approach that takes into account regional characteristics of climate impact precipitating the degrees of exposure and sensitivity of the facilities above that determine the amount the of climate risk. The experts’ assessment based on scaling the existing and expected value of risk as well as the level of adaptation capacity of the facilities provides for calculating the degree of their vulnerability to climate impact. Finally, using the variable of total (book and replacement) value of assets the amount of possible damage could be obtained. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2024. ISSN 1075-7007, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2024, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 44–53. Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2024. Russian Text c The Author(s), 2024.
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页码：44 / 53
页数：9
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