SENSITIVITY OF MALARIA, SCHISTOSOMIASIS AND DENGUE TO GLOBAL WARMING

被引：0

作者：

WILLEM J. M. Martens

THEO H. Jetten

DANA A. Focks

机构：

[1] Maastricht University,Department of Mathematics

[2] Wageningen Agricultural University,Department of Entomology, C. T. de Wit Graduate School for Production Ecology

[3] US Department of Agriculture,Medical and Veterinary Entomology Research Laboratory

来源：

Climatic Change | 1997年 / 35卷

关键词：

Climate Change; Malaria; Geographical Area; Global Warming; High Altitude;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Global assessment of the potential impacts of anthropogenically-induced climate change on vector-borne diseases suggests an increase in extent of the geographical areas susceptible to transmission of malarial Plasmodium parasites, dengue Flavivirus and Schistosoma worms. The transmission potential of the three associated vector-borne diseases studied is highly sensitive to climate changes on the periphery of the currently endemic areas and at higher altitudes within such areas. Our findings vis-à-vis the present endemic areas indicate that the increase in the epidemic potential of malaria and dengue transmission may be estimated at 12–27% and 31–47%, respectively, while in contrast, schistosomiasis transmission potential may be expected to exhibit a 11–17% decrease.

引用

页码：145 / 156

页数：11