Bias-corrected NESM3 global dataset for dynamical downscaling under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming scenarios

被引:3
作者
Zhang, Meng-Zhuo [1 ]
Han, Ying [2 ]
Xu, Zhongfeng [2 ]
Guo, Weidong [1 ]
机构
[1] Nanjing Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Nanjing, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, CAS Key Lab Reg Climate & Environm Temperate East, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
MONSOON PRECIPITATION; CLIMATE; MODEL; CIRCULATION; TEMPERATURE; 2-DEGREES-C; REANALYSIS; TRANSIENT; IMPACTS; EUROPE;
D O I
10.1038/s41597-024-03224-0
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Dynamical downscaling is vital for generating finer-scale climate projections. Recently, a set of simulations under four types of 1.5/2 degrees C global warming scenarios are available with Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model (NESM). However, NESM3's bias in large-scale driving variables would degrade downscaled simulations. We corrected NESM3 bias in terms of climate mean and inter-annual variance against ERA5 using a novel bias correction method and then produced a set of bias-corrected datasets for dynamical downscaling. The bias-corrected NESM3 spans the historical period for 1979-2014 and four future scenarios (i.e., 1.5 degrees C overshoot for 2070-2100, stabilized 1.5/2 degrees C for 2070-2100, and transient 2 degrees C for 2031-2061) with 1.25 degrees x 1.25 degrees horizontal resolution at six-hourly intervals. Our evaluation suggests that bias-corrected NESM3 outperforms the original NESM3 in the climatological mean of seasonal mean and variability, as well as climate extreme events during the historical period. This bias-corrected dataset is expected to generate more reliable projections for regional climate and environment under 1.5/2 degrees C global warming.
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页数:12
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