Integrated risk measurement and control for stochastic energy trading of a wind storage system in electricity markets

被引:0
|
作者
Dongliang Xiao
Haoyong Chen
Weijun Cai
Chun Wei
Zhendong Zhao
机构
[1] South China University of Technology,School of Electric Power
[2] Zhejiang University of Technology,College of Information Engineering
来源
Protection and Control of Modern Power Systems | 2023年 / 8卷
关键词
Electricity market; Risk measurement; Stochastic optimization; Wind storage system; Shortfall probability;
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中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
To facilitate wind energy use and avoid low returns, or even losses in extreme cases, this paper proposes an integrated risk measurement and control approach to jointly manage multiple statistical properties of the expected profit distribution for a wind storage system. First, a risk-averse stochastic decision-making framework and multi-type risk measurements, including the conditional value at Risk (CVaR), value at risk (VaR) and shortfall probability (SP), are described in detail. To satisfy the various needs of multi-type risk-averse decision makers, integrated risk measurement and control approaches are then proposed by jointly considering the expected, boundary and probability values of the extreme results. These are managed using CVaR, VaR and SP, respectively. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed risk control strategy is verified by conducting case studies with realistic market data, and the results of different risk control strategies are analyzed in depth. The impacts of the risk parameters of the decision maker, the energy capacity of the battery storage and the price difference between the day-ahead and real-time markets on the expected profits and risks are investigated in detail.
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