The U-shaped crime recovery during COVID-19: evidence from national crime rates in Mexico

被引：0
作者：
Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar
Lauren Hoehn-Velasco
Adan Silverio-Murillo
机构：
[1] Universidad Anahuac Mexico,Business and Economics School
[2] Georgia State University,Andrew Young School of Policy Studies
[3] Tecnologico de Monterrey,School of Government
来源：
Crime Science | / 10卷
关键词：
Crime; Pandemic; Lockdown; COVID-19; Mexico;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
The existing empirical evidence suggests a reduction in aggregate crime as a consequence of the COVID-19 lockdown. However, what happens when lockdown measures are relaxed? This paper considers how the COVID-19 pandemic affects crime rates throughout Mexico when the stay-at-home orders end. We use national crime data from Mexico’s National Public Security System, which reports municipality-level rates on assault & battery, theft & property crime, fraud, drug crimes & extortion, and homicides. Our results show that the majority of crimes follow a U-shaped trend—when the lockdown ends—crimes rise back to pre-pandemic levels.
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