the tipping point between stability and decline: trends in voter turnout, 1950–1980–2012

被引：0
作者：
marc hooghe
anna kern
机构：
[1] University of Leuven,Political Science, Centre for Citizenship and Democracy
来源：
European Political Science | 2017年 / 16卷
关键词：
voter turnout; trends, civic duty; electoral behaviour; institutions;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
There is a consensus in recent literature on electoral research that voter turnout rates are declining significantly. We know less, however, about when this decline started and how significant it is. In this paper, we analyse trends in electoral turnout, as reported in the IDEA dataset for 20 stable democracies over the period between 1950 and 2012, which covers 349 elections. The results show that turnout levels were stable until approximately 1980. A significant linear decline can be observed from 1980 onward. Various institutional elements related to turnout levels – such as the closeness of elections, or the effective number of parties – do not explain this spline or the particular curve of the decline. We close with a number of suggestions for future research that may ascertain this relation in more depth.
引用
收藏
页码：535 / 552
页数：17
相关论文
共 81 条
[11]  
Blais A(2008)The quantity and the quality of party systems: Party system polarization, its measurement, and its consequences Comparative Political Studies 41 899-920
[12]  
Rubenson D(2015)Proportionality and turnout. Evidence from French municipalities Comparative Political Studies 48 135-167
[13]  
Bühlmann M(1999)Electoral engineering and cross-national turnout differences: What role for compulsory voting? British Journal of Political Science 29 205-216
[14]  
Freitag M(1991)Proportionality, Disproportionality and Electoral Systems Electoral Studies 10 33-51
[15]  
Caporale T(2008)Social pressure and voter turnout: Evidence from a large-scale field experiment American Political Science Review 102 33-48
[16]  
Poitras M(2009)Descriptive social norms and motivation to vote: Everybody’s voting and so should you Journal of Politics 71 178-191
[17]  
Cox G(2006)Explaining voter turnout: A review of aggregate-level research Electoral Studies 25 637-663
[18]  
Dalton RJ(2003)The social multiplier Journal of the European Economic Association 1 345-353
[19]  
Dalton RJ(2011)Turnout and the (effective) number of parties at the national and district levels: A puzzle-solving approach Party Politics 17 93-117
[20]  
Eggers A(1998)Compulsory voting in Belgium. An application of the Lijphart Thesis Electoral Studies 17 419-424
123456789