Credit risk classification: an integrated predictive accuracy algorithm using artificial and deep neural networks

被引:0
作者
Mohammad Mahbobi
Salman Kimiagari
Marriappan Vasudevan
机构
[1] Thompson Rivers University,Department of Economics
[2] Thompson Rivers University,Department of Management, International Business, Information and Supply Chain
[3] Thompson Rivers University,undefined
来源
Annals of Operations Research | 2023年 / 330卷
关键词
Machine learning; Classifications; Finance; Credit risk; Sampling techniques; Deep neural network; Artificial neural network; Support vector machines;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
This study utilizes classification models to provide a robust algorithm for imbalanced data where the minority class is of the interest, that is, in the context of default payments. In developing an integrated predictive accuracy algorithm, this study proposes machine learning classifiers and applies DNN, SVM, KNN, and ANN. The proposed algorithm utilizes a 30,000 imbalanced dataset to improve the accuracy of the prediction of default payments by implementing oversampling and undersampling strategies, such as synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE), SVM SMOTE, random undersampling, and ALL-KNN. The results indicate that the SVM under the ALL-KNN sampling technique is able to achieve an accuracy of 98.6%, with the lowest cross entropy loss measurement of 0.028. Through the accurate implementation of the neural networks and neurons used in the proposed algorithm, this paper presents better insights into the functioning of the neural networks when used in conjunction with the resampling techniques. Using the methodology and algorithm presented in this study, credit risk assessments can be more accurately predicted in practical applications where most of the clients are categorized as non-default payments.
引用
收藏
页码:609 / 637
页数:28
相关论文
共 86 条
[1]  
Abdelmoula AK(2015)Bank credit risk analysis with k-nearest neighbor classifier: Case of Tunisian banks Accounting and Management Information Systems/Contabilitate Si Informatica de Gestiune 14 79-106
[2]  
Altman NS(1992)An introduction to kernel and nearest-neighbor nonparametric regression The American Statistician 46 175-185
[3]  
Bayraci S(2019)A Deep Neural Network (DNN) based classification model in application to loan default prediction Theoretical and Applied Economics 4 75-84
[4]  
Susuz O(1950)Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability Monthly weather review 78 1-3
[5]  
Brier GW(2002)SMOTE: synthetic minority over-sampling technique Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research 16 321-357
[6]  
Chawla NV(1967)Nearest neighbor pattern classification IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 13 21-27
[7]  
Bowyer KW(2013)A loan default discrimination model using cost-sensitive support vector machine improved by PSO Information Technology and Management 14 193-204
[8]  
Hall LO(2011)Modeling default risk with support vector machines Quantitative Finance 11 135-154
[9]  
Kegelmeyer WP(2011)Neural networks and their application in credit risk assessment. Evidence from the Romanian Market Technological and Economic Development of Economy 17 519-534
[10]  
Cover T(2015)Selection of Support Vector Machines based classifiers for credit risk domain Expert Systems with Applications 42 3194-3204