Regression modeling method of space weather prediction

被引：0
作者：
A. S. Parnowski
机构：
[1] Space Research Institute of NASU and NSAU,
来源：
Astrophysics and Space Science | 2009年 / 323卷
关键词：
Space weather; Prediction; Forecasting; Magnetic storms; Statistics; Regression;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
A regression modeling method of space weather prediction is proposed. It allows forecasting Dst index up to 6 hours ahead with about 90% correlation. It can also be used for constructing phenomenological models of interaction between the solar wind and the magnetosphere. With its help two new geoeffective parameters were found: latitudinal and longitudinal flow angles of the solar wind. It was shown that Dst index remembers its previous values for 2000 hours.
引用
收藏
页码：169 / 180
页数：11
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