Regression modeling method of space weather prediction

被引：0

作者：

A. S. Parnowski

机构：

[1] Space Research Institute of NASU and NSAU,

来源：

Astrophysics and Space Science | 2009年 / 323卷

关键词：

Space weather; Prediction; Forecasting; Magnetic storms; Statistics; Regression;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

A regression modeling method of space weather prediction is proposed. It allows forecasting Dst index up to 6 hours ahead with about 90% correlation. It can also be used for constructing phenomenological models of interaction between the solar wind and the magnetosphere. With its help two new geoeffective parameters were found: latitudinal and longitudinal flow angles of the solar wind. It was shown that Dst index remembers its previous values for 2000 hours.

引用

页码：169 / 180

页数：11

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