Statistical modeling of daily maximum surface ozone concentrations

被引：2
作者：
Zvyagintsev A.M. [1 ]
Belikov I.B. [2 ]
Elanskii N.F. [2 ]
Kakadzhanova G. [1 ]
Kuznetsova I.N. [3 ]
Tarasova O.A. [1 ]
Shalygina I.Y. [3 ]
机构：
[1] Central Aerological Observatory, Pervomaiskaya ul. 3, Dolgoprudnyi, Moscow region
[2] Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Pyzhevskii per. 3, Moscow
[3] Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, B. Predtechenskii per. 9-13, Moscow
来源：
Atmospheric and Oceanic Optics | 2010年 / 23卷 / 4期
基金：
俄罗斯基础研究基金会;
关键词：
Ozone; Ozone Concentration; Surface Ozone; German Station; Ozone Precursor;
D O I：
10.1134/S102485601004007X
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
A statistical model of the daily maximum surface ozone concentrations is suggested based on correlations with its predictors. Among the predictors are the temperature; relative humidity; mean wind speed in the planetary boundary layer; concentrations of other trace gases; and the “meteorological pollution potential,” which can characterize adverse (for atmospheric dispersion) meteorological conditions. The statistical model is suitable for surface ozone forecasting; it uses current meteorological parameters, as well as their forecasted values. The most significant predictors of the surface ozone in the Moscow region are the meteorological pollution potential and anomalies (deviations from the norms) of the temperature, relative humidity, and surface ozone on the previous day. The model was tested using the data obtained for the Moscow region and some German stations. Such a model is better than the “climate” and “inertial” models and can ensure a determination coefficient of the surface ozone anomalies of about 50%. © 2010, Pleiades Publishing, Ltd.
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页码：284 / 292
页数：8
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