Forecast of the rainfall flood hydrograph on the Far East rivers

被引：6

作者：

Gartsman B.I. ^{[1
]}

Gubareva T.S. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Far East Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute, Vladivostok 690600

来源：

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology | 2007年 / 32卷 / 5期

基金：

俄罗斯基础研究基金会;

关键词：

Lead Time; RUSSIAN Meteorology; Precipitation Forecast; Runoff Hydrograph; Runoff Formation;

D O I：

10.3103/S1068373907050068

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

A procedure of forecasting the hydrograph of rain-fed rivers four to six days ahead from precipitation data is considered. The forecast procedure is based on basin-indicators. A new element of the procedure is an original model of the flood cycle in a small river basin used as a first element of the entire rainfall-runoff transformation scheme. Application is discussed of the complete prediction algorithm, given the necessary number of basin-indicators, and the incomplete algorithm that is adapted to a real state of the observation network in different ways. © Allerton Press, Inc. 2007.

引用

页码：328 / 335

页数：7

共 10 条

[1]

Vinogradov Yu.B., Mathematical Modeling of Runoff Formation, (1988)

[2]

Gartsman B.I., Phenomenon of Flow Counter-Management in the Flood Cycle Model for a Small River Basin, Geografiya I Prirodnye Resurs, 2, (2001)

[3]

Gartsman B.I., Bugaets A.N., Application of the Flood Cycle Model for a Small River Basin to Calculations of a Maximum Flow, DVNIGMI's Collected Papers, No. 4 Hydrometeorology and Ecology of the Far East, (2003)

[4]

Gartsman B.I., Makagonova M.A., Application of the Flood Cycle Model for a Small River Basin in Problems of Hydrological Forecasts, Proc. of Int. Scientific Conference "Extreme Hydrological Events: Theory, Modeling and Forecasting", (2003)

[5]

Hydrometeorological Hazards, (2001)

[6]

Floods and Other Hazardous Hydrological Events: Estimating, Forecasting, and Mitigating Negative Impacts, Abstracts of Papers Presented at the VI All-Russian Hydrological Congress, (2004)

[7]

Popov E.G., Hydrological Forecasts, (1979)

[8]

Manual for Hydrological Forecasts, 2, (1989)

[9]

Franchini M., Pacciani M., Comparative Analysis of Several Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Models, J. Hydrol., 122, (1991)

[10]

Nash J.E., Sutclifee J.V., River Flow Forecasting through Conceptual Models. Part 1-A Discussion of Principles, J. Hydrol., 10, (1970)

← 1 →