Mathematical modeling of cholera dynamics with intrinsic growth considering constant interventions

被引:0
作者
Kewani Welay Brhane
Abdulaziz Garba Ahmad
Hina Hina
Homan Emadifar
机构
[1] Mekelle University,Department of Mathematics
[2] Federal University of Technology,Department of Applied Mathematics
[3] Women University Swabi,Department of Mathematics and Statistics
[4] Saveetha University,Department of Mathematics, Saveetha School of Engineering, Saveetha Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences
[5] Middle East University,MEU Research Unit
[6] Islamic Azad University of Hamedan,Department of Mathematics, Hamedan Branch
来源
Scientific Reports | / 14卷
关键词
Basic reproduction number; Cholera dynamics; Intervention rates; Mathematical modeling; Stability analysis;
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摘要
A mathematical model that describes the dynamics of bacterium vibrio cholera within a fixed population considering intrinsic bacteria growth, therapeutic treatment, sanitation and vaccination rates is developed. The developed mathematical model is validated against real cholera data. A sensitivity analysis of some of the model parameters is also conducted. The intervention rates are found to be very important parameters in reducing the values of the basic reproduction number. The existence and stability of equilibrium solutions to the mathematical model are also carried out using analytical methods. The effect of some model parameters on the stability of equilibrium solutions, number of infected individuals, number of susceptible individuals and bacteria density is rigorously analyzed. One very important finding of this research work is that keeping the vaccination rate fixed and varying the treatment and sanitation rates provide a rapid decline of infection. The fourth order Runge–Kutta numerical scheme is implemented in MATLAB to generate the numerical solutions.
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