Risk aversion and agents' survivability in a financial market

被引:1
作者
Hayward, Serge [1 ]
机构
[1] ESC Dijon, Dept Finance, F-21000 Dijon, France
来源
FRONTIERS OF COMPUTER SCIENCE IN CHINA | 2009年 / 3卷 / 02期
关键词
artificial neural network; loss functions; risk preferences;
D O I
10.1007/s11704-009-0021-7
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Considering the effect of economic agents' preferences on their actions, the relationships between conventional summary statistics and forecast profits are investigated. An analytical examination of loss function families demonstrates that investors' utility maximisation is determined by their risk attitudes. In computational settings, stock traders' fitness is assessed in response to a slow step increase in the value of the risk aversion coefficient. The experiment rejects the claims that the accuracy of the forecast does not depend upon which error-criteria are used and that none of them is related to the profitability of the forecast. The profitability of networks trained with L-6 loss function appeared to be statistically significant and stable, although links between the loss functions and the accuracy of forecasts were less conclusive.
引用
收藏
页码:158 / 166
页数:9
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