The history of risk: a review

被引：0

作者：

Philip F. Stahel

Ivor S. Douglas

Todd F. VanderHeiden

Sebastian Weckbach

机构：

[1] University of Colorado,Department of Orthopaedics

[2] School of Medicine and Denver Health Medical Center,Department of Neurosurgery

[3] University of Colorado,Department of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary Sciences and Critical Care

[4] School of Medicine and Denver Health Medical Center,Department of Orthopaedics

[5] University of Colorado,undefined

[6] School of Medicine and Denver Health Medical Center,undefined

[7] University Hospital Ulm,undefined

来源：

World Journal of Emergency Surgery | / 12卷

关键词：

Risk; History; Probability theory; Risk management; Decision-making;

D O I：

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学科分类号：

摘要：

In the USA alone, around 22 million patients annually discuss the need for surgical procedure with their surgeon. On a global scale, more than 200 million patients are exposed to the risk of undergoing a surgical procedure every year. A crucial part of the informed consent process for surgery is the understanding of risk, the probability of complications, and the predicted occurrence of adverse events. Ironically, risk quantification, risk stratification, and risk management are not necessarily part of a surgeon’s core skillset, considering the lengthy surgical training curriculum towards technical excellence. The present review was designed to provide a concise historic perspective on the evolution of our current understanding of risk and probability, which represent the key underlying pillars of the shared decision-making process between surgeons and patients when discussing surgical treatment options.

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