Forecast of mycotoxins levels in soft wheat, durum wheat and maize before harvesting with Qualimètre®

Some mycotoxins are produced by several Fusarium species during cultivation and are found in wheat and maize grain. Since 2000, Syngenta has organised a large field survey. Agronomic and climatic data and grain samples have been collected for mycotoxin analysis in France and Belgium. The importance of the agroclimatic factors and their interactions on the mycotoxin levels in grain has been estimated. The climate around flowering stage is the major factor for deoxynivalenol (DON) in wheat. The main agronomic criteria are residue management and the variety sensitivity to this mycotoxin. For DON, zearalenone and fumonisins in maize, the climate from flowering stage until harvest is the major factor. Then, according to each mycotoxin, the main agronomic criteria are the harvest condition (date and grain moisture), the corn borer infestation and the variety sensitivity to these mycotoxins. Over the years, the database has been used to define models to predict the mycotoxin risk before harvesting. Grain purchasers enter the required agronomic data via the Syngenta Internet site and define their grain purchasing areas. They also define the flowering period for wheat and corn borer infestation for maize. After calculation which integrates climatic data, the purchasers receive reports with forecasts of mycotoxin levels. Prediction is based on different agro-climatic statistical models specifically configured according to the different regions of production in France and Belgium. This approach is called Qualimètre® and was the first service in France and Belgium to forecast the grain mycotoxin level for wheat in 2004 and maize in 2006.