A simple weighted displacement difference test to evaluate place based crime interventions

被引:17
作者
Wheeler A.P. [1 ]
Ratcliffe J.H. [2 ]
机构
[1] School of Economic, Political, and Policy Sciences–Program in Criminology and Criminal Justice, The University of Texas at Dallas, 800 West Campbell Road, Mail Station GR 31, Richardson, 75080-3021, TX
[2] Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University, Philadelphia
关键词
Diffusion-of-benefits; Displacement; Hot-spots; Intervention-analysis; Policing;
D O I
10.1186/s40163-018-0085-5
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
This work proposes a new statistic, the weighted displacement difference (WDD), as a simple test to evaluate crime reductions subsequent to place based interventions taking into account trends in comparison areas and potential spatial displacement or diffusion of benefits. The motivation is to have both a simple statistic that can give an estimate of the effectiveness of a crime reducing intervention, while also providing a measure of the standard error one would expect when examining crime counts simply by chance. The proposed statistic can be calculated in a spreadsheet with counts of crime before and after the intervention in both treated and displacement areas given matched control locations for each. Code to replicate the analysis as well as an Excel® spreadsheet to calculate the WDD and its standard error can be downloaded from https://www.dropbox.com/s/rg7x9bg1o3d8nsf/WDD_Analysis.zip?dl=0. © 2018, The Author(s).
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 28 条
[1]  
Ariel B., Weinborn C., Sherman L.W., Soft” policing at hot spots—do police community support officers work? A randomized controlled trial, Journal of Experimental Criminology, 12, 3, pp. 277-317, (2016)
[2]  
Berk R., MacDonald J., Overdispersion and Poisson regression, Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 24, 3, pp. 269-284, (2008)
[3]  
Bowers K.J., Johnson S.D., Measuring the geographical displacement and diffusion of benefit effects of crime prevention activity, Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 19, 3, pp. 275-301, (2003)
[4]  
Bowers K.J., Johnson S.D., Guerette R.T., Summers L., Poynton S., Spatial displacement and diffusion of benefits among geographically focused policing initiatives, Campbell Systematic Reviews, 7, 3, (2011)
[5]  
Bowers K.J., Johnson S.D., Guerette R.T., Summers L., Poynton S., Spatial displacement and diffusion of benefits among geographically focused policing initiatives: A meta-analytical review, Journal of Experimental Criminology, 7, 4, pp. 347-374, (2011)
[6]  
Brantingham P.J., Brantingham P.L., Anticipating the displacement of crime using the principles of environmental criminology, Crime Prevention Studies, 16, pp. 119-148, (2003)
[7]  
Cahill M., Using the Weighted Displacement Quotient to explore crime displacement from public housing redevelopment sites, Cityscape, 13, 3, pp. 103-134, (2011)
[8]  
Clarke R.V., Weisburd D., Diffusion of crime control benefits: Observations on the reverse of displacement, Crime Prevention Studies, 2, pp. 165-183, (1994)
[9]  
Curman A.S.N., Andresen M.A., Brantingham P.J., Crime and Place: A longitudinal examination of street segment patterns in Vancouver, BC. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 31, 1, pp. 127-147, (2015)
[10]  
Detre K., White C., Note: The comparison of two Poisson-distributed observations, Biometrics, 26, 4, pp. 851-854, (1970)