Prediction of the Maximum Amplitude of Solar Cycle 25 Using the Ascending Inflection Point

被引：0

作者：

A. J. P. Aparicio

V. M. S. Carrasco

J. M. Vaquero

机构：

[1] Universidad de Extremadura,Departamento de Física

[2] Universidad de Extremadura,Instituto Universitario de Investigación del Agua, Cambio Climático y Sostenibilidad (IACYS)

[3] Universidade de Évora,Earth Remote Sensing Laboratory (EaRSLab) and Institute of Earth Sciences – ICT (Polo de Évora), Instituto de Investigação e Formação Avançada (IIFA)

来源：

Solar Physics | 2023年 / 298卷

关键词：

Sunspot number; Sunspots; Statistics; Solar cycle; Observations;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

In this work, we predict the maximum amplitude (using the 13-month smoothed Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SILSO) Sunspot Number, version 2) of Solar Cycle 25 using as a predictor the slope of the inflection point during the ascending part of the cycle. After a description of the data and methodology employed in this work, we obtain a value of 131 ± 32 for the maximum amplitude of Solar Cycle 25. Finally, we discuss this result in the context of the current debate on the prediction of solar activity and compare it with other predictions of Solar Cycle 25 obtained by other methods.

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