Hematocrit drift and outcomes in surgical patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background There is a paucity of conclusive evidence regarding the impact of downward drift in hematocrit levels among patients who have undergone surgical clipping for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This study endeavors to explore the potential association between hematocrit drift and mortality in this specific patient population. Methods A cohort study was conducted, encompassing adult patients diagnosed with aSAH at a university hospital. The primary endpoint was follow-up mortality. Propensity score matching was employed to align patients based on their baseline characteristics. Discrimination capacity across various models was assessed and compared using net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results Among the 671 patients with aSAH in the study period, 118 patients (17.6%) experienced an in-hospital hematocrit drift of more than 25%. Following adjustment with multivariate regression analysis, patients with elevated hematocrit drift demonstrated significantly increased odds of mortality (aOR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.14 to 3.97; P = 0.019). Matching analysis yielded similar results (aOR: 2.07, 95% CI: 1.05 to 4.10; P = 0.036). The inclusion of hematocrit drift significantly improved the NRI (P < 0.0001) for mortality prediction. When in-hospital hematocrit drift was served as a continuous variable, each 10% increase in hematocrit drift corresponded to an adjusted odds ratio of 1.31 (95% CI 1.08-1.61; P = 0.008) for mortality. Conclusions In conclusion, the findings from this comprehensive cohort study indicate that a downward hematocrit drift exceeding 25% independently predicts mortality in surgical patients with aSAH. These findings underscore the significance of monitoring hematocrit and managing anemia in this patient population.