Comparing the efficacy of catheter ablation strategies for persistent atrial fibrillation: a Bayesian analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background Catheter ablation has been recommended as the first-line treatment option for selected patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, a widely accepted ablation strategy for persistent AF (perAF) has not yet been established. The benefits of ablation strategies are not conclusive for perAF. There is an urgent need to systematically analyze the results of previous studies and rank these treatment strategies to guide clinical practice. Methods Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on ablation for perAF were included. The primary outcome was recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmia (AT) after a single ablation procedure. A Bayesian random-effects network meta-analysis model was fitted. Results Twenty-three studies were included in the analysis. A total of 3394 patients and 22 ablation strategies were found in the involved studies. The ablation strategy of pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) + electrical box isolation of the left atrial posterior wall (PBOX) + non-PV trigger ablation (NPV) showed the best treatment effect in terms of the primary outcome. The individualized ablation strategies of mapping and ablation combined with PVI, such as PVI + rotors, PVI + dispersion areas, and PVI + low voltage zone (LVZ) also showed a better ablation effect in perAF. Conclusions PVI ablation is a widely used strategy in perAF and is recognized as a cornerstone procedure for perAF. The PVI + PBOX + NPV strategy showed the highest rank in our analysis. Mapping and ablation strategies that could provide individualized substrate modification also showed a better rank in our analysis and are believed to be a promising direction for the treatment of perAF.