The bitcoin: a sparkling bubble or price discovery?

被引:0
作者
Imad A. Moosa
机构
[1] RMIT,School of Economics, Finance and Marketing
来源
Journal of Industrial and Business Economics | 2020年 / 47卷
关键词
Bitcoin; Cryptocurrencies; Bubbles price discovery; Fundamental value; G11; G12; G14;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The phenomenal rise in the price of bitcoin, prior to the trend reversal of early 2018, resembles a bubble as spectacular as any other bubble. A mere observation of the price rise and a comparison with the common characteristics of a bubble provide anecdotal evidence for the bitcoin bubble. Based on price and volume data up to the end of November 2017, formal empirical evidence is presented by using procedures that do not require the estimation of a fundamental value for bitcoin. The empirical evidence shows that (i) the volume of trading can be explained predominantly in terms of price dynamics; (ii) trading in bitcoin is based exclusively on technical considerations pertaining to past price movements, particularly positive price changes; and (iii) the price of bitcoin is an explosive process. These findings are interpreted to imply a price bubble.
引用
收藏
页码:93 / 113
页数:20
相关论文
共 50 条
[41]   Bitcoin: Bubble that bursts or Gold that glitters? [J].
Caferra, Rocco ;
Tedeschi, Gabriele ;
Morone, Andrea .
ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2021, 205
[42]   Scaling properties of extreme price fluctuations in Bitcoin markets [J].
Begusic, Stjepan ;
Kostanjcar, Zvonko ;
Stanley, H. Eugene ;
Podobnik, Boris .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2018, 510 :400-406
[43]   Bitcoin Ordinals: Bitcoin Price and Transaction Fee Rate Predictions [J].
Wang, Minxing ;
Braslavski, Pavel ;
Manevich, Vyacheslav ;
Ignatov, Dmitry I. .
IEEE ACCESS, 2025, 13 :35478-35489
[44]   Does Bitcoin dominate the price discovery of the Cryptocurrencies market? A time-varying information share analysis [J].
Chang, Le ;
Shi, Yanlin .
OPERATIONS RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 48 (05) :641-645
[45]   Bitcoin and gold price returns: A quantile regression and NARDL analysis [J].
Jareno, Francisco ;
Gonzalez, Maria de la O. ;
Tolentino, Marta ;
Sierra, Karen .
RESOURCES POLICY, 2020, 67 (67)
[46]   Does the Hashrate Affect the Bitcoin Price? [J].
Fantazzini, Dean ;
Kolodin, Nikita .
JOURNAL OF RISK AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 2020, 13 (11)
[47]   Bitcoin fluctuations and the frequency of price overreactions [J].
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ;
Alex Plastun ;
Viktor Oliinyk .
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 2019, 33 :109-131
[48]   Transformer Models for Bitcoin Price Prediction [J].
Mai, Tai ;
Cavazza, Marc ;
Prendinger, Helmut .
PROCEEDINGS OF 2024 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON FRONTIERS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND MACHINE LEARNING, FAIML 2024, 2024, :236-241
[49]   Positive and Negative Searches Related to the Bitcoin Ecosystem: Relationship with Bitcoin Price [J].
Georgiou, Ifigenia ;
Georgiadi, Athanasia ;
Sapuric, Svetlana .
INFORMATION SYSTEMS, EMCIS 2020, 2020, 402 :137-150
[50]   Bitcoin Price Variation: An Analysis of the Correlations [J].
Guidi, Barbara ;
Michienzi, Andrea .
EURO-PAR 2019: PARALLEL PROCESSING WORKSHOPS, 2020, 11997 :429-441