Short-run fertility effects of parental leave benefits: evidence from a structural model

被引：0
作者：
Holger Stichnoth
机构：
[1] ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research,
来源：
Empirical Economics | 2020年 / 59卷
关键词：
Fertility; Female labour supply; Family policy; Parental leave; Latent-class models; State dependence; C25; C53; J13; J22;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Based on a structural model of fertility and female labour force supply with unobserved heterogeneity and state dependence, we evaluate the 2007 reform of parental leave benefits in Germany, which replaced a flat, means-tested benefit by a generous earnings-related transfer. The model predicts a short-term fertility effect of about 4%, which is consistent with recent quasi-experimental evidence. The fertility effect is strongest for first births and increases with income. We use the model for a number of counterfactual policy experiments in which we vary the generosity of parental leave benefits.
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页码：143 / 168
页数：25
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