Spatial-temporal pattern changes of main agriculture natural disasters in China during 1990–2011

被引:0
作者
Xindong Du
Xiaobin Jin
Xilian Yang
Xuhong Yang
Xiaomin Xiang
Yinkang Zhou
机构
[1] Nanjing University,School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences
[2] Natural Resources Research Center of Nanjing University,undefined
[3] Land Resources Reserve and Development Center of Anhui Province,undefined
来源
Journal of Geographical Sciences | 2015年 / 25卷
关键词
spatial-temporal pattern; grain production; disasters; China;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
China is a disaster prone country, and a comprehensive understanding of change of disasters is very important for China’s agricultural development. In this study, statistical techniques and geographic information system tools are employed to quantify the main agriculture disasters changes and effects on grain production in China during the period of 1990–2011. The results show that China’s grain production was severely affected by disasters including drought, flood, hail, frost and typhoon. The annual area covered by these disasters reached up to 48.7×106 ha during the study period, which accounted for 44.8% of the total sown area, and about 55.1% of the per unit area grain yield change was caused by disasters. In addition, all of the disasters showed high variability, different changing trends, and spatial distribution. Drought, flood, and hail showed significantly decreasing trends, while frost and typhoon showed increasing trends. Drought and flood showed gradual changes and were distributed across the country, and disasters became more diversified from north to south. Drought was the dominated disaster type in northern China, while flood was the most important disaster type in the southern part. Hail was mainly observed in central and northern China, and frost was mainly distributed in southern China. Typhoon was greatly limited to the southeast coast. Furthermore, the resilience of grain production of each province was quite different, especially in several major grain producing areas, such as Shandong, Liaoning, Jilin and Jiangsu, where grain production was seriously affected by disasters. One reason for the difference of resilience of grain production was that grain production was marginalized in developed provinces when the economy underwent rapid development. For China’s agricultural development and grain security, we suggest that governments should place more emphasis on grain production, and invest more money in disaster prevention and mitigation, especially in the major grain producing provinces.
引用
收藏
页码:387 / 398
页数:11
相关论文
共 120 条
[1]  
Anselin L(1995)Local indicators of spatial association—LISA Geographical Analysis 27 93-115
[2]  
Ballantine D J(2014)Water quality trends in New Zealand rivers: 1989–2009 Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 186 1939-1950
[3]  
Davies-Colley R J(2009)Normalised flood losses in Europe: 1970-2006 Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 9 97-104
[4]  
Barredo J I(2000)Human factors explain the increased losses from weather and climate extremes Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81 437-442
[5]  
Changnon S A(2013)Using GIS to map impacts upon agriculture from extreme floods in Vietnam Applied Geography 41 65-74
[6]  
Pielke R A(2008)Total factor productivity growth in China’s agricultural sector China Economic Review 19 580-593
[7]  
Changnon D(2009)Evolvement of spatial pattern of economy in Jiangsu Province at county level Acta Geographica Sinica 64 713-724
[8]  
Chau V N(2010)Flood trends and variability in the Mekong River Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 14 407-418
[9]  
Holland J(2003)Spatial autocorrelation and red herrings in geographical ecology Global Ecology and Biogeography 12 53-64
[10]  
Cassells S(2000)Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts Science 289 2068-2074